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Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Research Analyst on 22/12/2009 (Karachi Stock Exchage)

With strong fundamentals, market is giving support at 9,000 levels despite the current grim law and order situation and political chaos. Moving forward, as soon as clarity arrives on the political front immediate positive activities can hit the market in coming weeks. Therefore investors are advised that in the case of decline they can invest in fundamentally strong stocks of banking, oil marketing and fertiliser sectors and then wait for January-end because market would have achieved good levels by then. Approval of IMF tranche, good economic outlook and improving political situation can provide support to the market. Supreme Court's judgment on different petitions would also play a vital role in setting the direction of the market.

Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) surges on offshorers

Equities at Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) ended higher on first day of the week mainly due to foreign investors' participation and buying in banking stocks however turnovers remained low due to ongoing political turmoil.

The benchmark KSE 100-Index surged by 0.54 per cent or 49.87 points to close at 9,233.60, KSE 30-Index jumped by 0.54 per cent or 52.51 points to end at 9,705.41, while KSE All Share Index gained value by 0.52 per cent or 34.15 points to finish at 6,554.40 levels.

The day started on a positive note with a gain of 25 points; positive activities then managed to continue as buying continued mainly in the banking stocks however volumes were low as investors were reluctant to take positions due to the ongoing political chaos. Therefore after remaining in green zone during first two hours market witnessed some profit-taking. As a result index then showed some mixed activities for a couple of hours moving in both territories where at one moment it touched an intra-day low of 9,172 points (-ve 11 points). However renewed buying activity at lower levels allowed the bulls to take a comeback and market once again managed to stay in positive where at about 1507 PST it hit the highest level of the day of 9,241 points (+ve 58 points) and finally closed in the green zone.

Some improved activities witnessed by the foreign investors where according to the National Clearing Company of Pakistan Limited (NCCPL) figures, there was a net foreign buying of $3.6 million Monday.

He said that LOC unit holders of NIT including NBP and FABL led the rally in banking sector on capital gain expectations. Rise in international oil prices, strong valuations & institutional support in blue chips played a catalyst role in positive activity at the KSE, he added.

Investor participation was depressed throughout the day as 78.7 million shares were traded in the overall market which is 18 million shares less as compared to a turnover of 96.8 million shares Friday. Out of total 400 active issues, 202 advanced and 173 declined while 25 issues remained unchanged.

Bumbai Stock Exchange (BSE) India Declines to 6-week low

Indian shares fell 0.71 per cent Monday, a third straight fall taking them to a six-week closing low, with Larsen & Toubro and Bharti Airtel leading the losses as fund activity wound down into year-end.

Engineering and construction firm Larsen & Toubro declined 2.4 per cent, contributing most to the fall in the index, and state-run infrastructure firm Bharat heavy Electricals fell 1.35 per cent.

The index, powered by foreign buying of $16.5 billion of stocks up to mid-December, is up 72 per cent this year. But it is about 5 per cent below 17-month highs just under 17,500 hit in October, and has lost momentum as foreigners close their books for the end of the year. The 50-share NSE index closed down 0.7 per cent at 4,952.60.

Saturday, December 19, 2009

Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) witnesses bearish Friday

Negativity prevailed at the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) on the last day of the week with very low volumes as investors preferred to stay sidelined over political turmoil arising out of the Supreme Court's decision on NRO.

The benchmark KSE 100-Index shed 0.47 per cent or 43.45 points to finish at 9,183.73 levels, KSE 30-Index lost 0.87 per cent or 84.64 points to close at 9,652.90, whereas KSE All Share Index dropped 0.43 per cent or 28.45 points to end at 6,520.25 levels.

He further stated that investors also remained concerned over prevailing security situation in the country.

Trading activities started on a positive note with a gain of 17 points thereafter market saw some mixed activities during the first hour of the session moving in both territories where at one stage index touched an intra-day high of 9,258 points (+ve 31 points). After which some pressure witnessed as investors were worried over the current political situation in the country therefore index went down into the red zone and closed the first session with a loss of 24 points.

Red numbers were increased during the second session due to law and order situation in the country and news of NAB taking action against ministers therefore the key index went down to touch its lowest level of the day of 9,137 points (-ve 89 points). However some buying at lower levels mainly in E&P stocks allowed the index to end with reduced losses.

Though market ended in the negative zone but buying was witnessed by the foreign investors as according to the National Clearing Company of Pakistan Limited (NCCPL) figures, there was a net foreign buying of $2 million Friday.

Investor participation was much depressed as 96.8 million shares changed hands which are 110 million shares less as compared to a turnover of 206.8 million shares a day earlier.

Out of total 384 active issues, 201 declined and 160 advanced while 23 issues remained unchanged.

HK, China hit 3-wk low on banks, estate

Shares in Hong Kong and China fell to three-week low, led by banks and properties, after tough new proposals by banking regulators and Beijing's tighter curbs on buying government land reignited fears about the sectors' outlooks.

Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index ended down 0.8 per cent or 171.75 points at 21,175.88, retreating for a fourth straight session. For the week, the index has fallen 3.3 per cent on fears of more fund outflows as the US dollar strengthens. Brokers said the market was likely to extend its sell-off.

Turnover rose to HK$69.75 billion ($8.99 billion), from Thursday's HK$66.60 billion.
The China Enterprises Index of top locally listed mainland Chinese stocks closed down 1.33 per cent at 12,334.82.

The Shanghai Composite Index fell 2.05 per cent or 65.192 points to finish at 3,113.886, slipping for a fourth day in a row. The index posted a 4.1 per cent loss this week.

Losing Shanghai A shares far outnumbered gainers by 836 to 55, while turnover slipped to a one-week low of 116 billion yuan from Thursday's 123 billion yuan.
The property sub-index dropped 5.42 per cent. Property issues were hard hit with industry heavyweight China Vanke losing 6.03 per cent, while China Merchants Property sank 8.97 per cent.

The index has been pressured over the past week by concerns about rising share supplies. The index once dropped below its 60-day moving average, now at 3,112 points, for the first time in seven weeks, although it drew some support Friday.

Friday, December 11, 2009

Research Analyst on 11/12/2009 (Karachi Stock Exchage)

Strong support is likely to remain as long as foreign investors are active while recovery in Dubai markets would also come to rev up stocks. International oil prices may increase and strong valuation in oil, banks and fertiliser sectors are also having good sheen. Investors can invest in banking, fertiliser and power sectors. Rise in international oil prices, resolution of circular debt and arrival of IMF loan tranche would play vital role in market proceedings in the days to come. Market would be mixed to positive today.